-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of Pikeville fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.3% → 0.0%).
Kentucky · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Pikeville
Pikeville, Kentucky. 1,140 undergraduate students. 35 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Pikeville
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+40%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at University of Pikeville are 40% above 6-year earnings ($34.5k → $48.2k).
+35%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at University of Pikeville rose 34% between 2021 and 2024 (31.0% → 41.7%).
+23%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at University of Pikeville rose 23% between 2021 and 2024 (23.2% → 28.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Kentucky
Each tile compares this institution to the Kentucky median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$48,231+40% · 6→10y
Kentucky median $37,114$34,508
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry39.1%+48% · '97→'24
Kentucky median 49.7%$12,467+256% · '97→'20
At program completion1,140+40% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS64.5%+11% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—±0% · '13→'17
latest cohort$24,150+203% · '01→'24
out-of-state $24,150SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $12,467 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $48,231 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+48%
University of Pikeville · completion · 150% rose
28.2% → 41.7%
+107%
University of Pikeville · completion · 100% rose
13.8% → 28.6%
+11%
University of Pikeville · retention rose
62.0% → 68.7%
+40%
University of Pikeville · undergrad enrollment rose
812 → 1,135
+203%
University of Pikeville · in-state tuition rose
$8,200 → $24,850
+203%
University of Pikeville · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,200 → $24,850
+256%
University of Pikeville · median debt rose
$5,810 → $20,679
-100%
University of Pikeville · cohort default rate fell
14.1% → 0.0%
-33%
University of Pikeville · pell share fell
57.0% → 38.0%
+59%
University of Pikeville · earnings_median_10yr rose
$30,300 → $48,231
+39%
University of Pikeville · earnings_median_8yr rose
$28,600 → $39,752
+41%
University of Pikeville · earnings_median_6yr rose
$24,400 → $34,508
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Medicine.$273,309Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$77,986Biology, General.$58,835Business Administration, Management and Operations.$53,852Criminal Justice and Corrections.$48,336Psychology, General.$46,488Business Administration, Management and Operations.$41,021Communication and Media Studies.$33,438
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
8 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Pikeville
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$3,514,293
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 7
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $13,903
- HS-only baseline · KY
- $33,900
- Years to complete
- 7
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Kentucky
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Pikeville graduates earn $X” — not “University of Pikeville makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Pikeville caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.