+59%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Creative Hair School of Cosmetology rose 59% between 2018 and 2020 ($9.7k → $15.4k).
Michigan · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Creative Hair School of Cosmetology
Flint, Michigan. 48 undergraduate students. 1 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Creative Hair School of Cosmetology
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+100%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Creative Hair School of Cosmetology rose 100% between 2021 and 2024 (50.0% → 100.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Michigan
Each tile compares this institution to the Michigan median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Michigan median $38,167—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry33.3%+622% · '97→'08
Michigan median 57.1%$9,500+59% · '18→'20
At program completion48-45% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS75.0%
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+622%
Creative Hair School of Cosmetology · completion · 150% rose
7.7% → 55.6%
+2000%
Creative Hair School of Cosmetology · retention rose
0.0% → 100.0%
+59%
Creative Hair School of Cosmetology · median debt rose
$9,667 → $15,406
-100%
Creative Hair School of Cosmetology · cohort default rate fell
55.5% → 0.0%
+1134%
Creative Hair School of Cosmetology · pell share rose
3.9% → 60.5%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Creative Hair School of Cosmetology
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Creative Hair School of Cosmetology(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Michigan
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Creative Hair School of Cosmetology graduates earn $X” — not “Creative Hair School of Cosmetology makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Creative Hair School of Cosmetology caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.