Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Marketti Academy of Cosmetology rose 58% between 2015 and 2017 ($5.9k → $9.3k).
Waterford, Michigan. 45 undergraduate students. 2 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
Median federal debt at exit at Marketti Academy of Cosmetology rose 58% between 2015 and 2017 ($5.9k → $9.3k).
3-year cohort default rate at Marketti Academy of Cosmetology fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.7% → 0.0%).
Undergraduate enrollment at Marketti Academy of Cosmetology fell 45% between 2021 and 2024 (82 → 45).
Earnings 10 years post-entry at Marketti Academy of Cosmetology are 31% below 6-year earnings ($20.8k → $14.3k).
Each tile compares this institution to the Michigan median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Median federal debt $7,081 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $14,345 (10y after entry).
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
$5,900 → $9,329
22.1% → 14.3%
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Marketti Academy of Cosmetology(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Marketti Academy of Cosmetology caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.