-46%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at Lake Superior State University fell 46% between 2006 and 2009 (19.2% → 10.3%).
Michigan · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
Lake Superior State University
Sault Ste Marie, Michigan. 1,391 undergraduate students. 81 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Lake Superior State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-17%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Lake Superior State University fell 17% between 2021 and 2024 (1.6k → 1.3k).
+13%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Lake Superior State University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($13.2k → $14.9k).
+13%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Lake Superior State University rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($13.2k → $14.9k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Michigan
Each tile compares this institution to the Michigan median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$49,045+15% · 6→10y
Michigan median $38,167$42,767
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry56.9%+49% · '97→'24
Michigan median 57.1%$14,764+413% · '97→'20
At program completion1,391-59% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS68.8%+29% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time68.0%+4% · '01→'23
latest cohort$14,266+290% · '00→'24
out-of-state $14,266SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.0%Median federal debt $14,764 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $49,045 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+49%
Lake Superior State University · completion · 150% rose
34.2% → 51.0%
-41%
Lake Superior State University · completion · 100% fell
17.4% → 10.3%
+29%
Lake Superior State University · retention rose
61.0% → 78.8%
-59%
Lake Superior State University · undergrad enrollment fell
3,264 → 1,325
+290%
Lake Superior State University · in-state tuition rose
$3,818 → $14,890
+98%
Lake Superior State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$7,504 → $14,890
+413%
Lake Superior State University · median debt rose
$4,536 → $23,250
-100%
Lake Superior State University · cohort default rate fell
6.3% → 0.0%
+27%
Lake Superior State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$38,500 → $49,045
+43%
Lake Superior State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$34,200 → $48,815
+30%
Lake Superior State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$32,800 → $42,767
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Fire Protection.$73,140Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$71,226Fire Protection.$70,707Criminal Justice and Corrections.$62,598Homeland Security.$62,370Criminal Justice and Corrections.$60,606Marketing.$60,340Psychology, General.$52,046Fishing and Fisheries Sciences and Management.$51,390Accounting and Related Services.$49,240Business Administration, Management and Operations.$48,889Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.$46,524
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
12 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Lake Superior State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$404,808
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 9
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $12,862
- HS-only baseline · MI
- $36,900
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 43
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Michigan
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Lake Superior State University graduates earn $X” — not “Lake Superior State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Lake Superior State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.