Minnesota · Public · Predominantly certificates

Pine Technical & Community College

Pine City, Minnesota. 569 undergraduate students. 40 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Pine Technical & Community College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-31%

150%-time completion

150%-time completion at Pine Technical & Community College fell 31% between 2006 and 2009 (45.1% → 31.1%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Pine Technical & Community College fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.3% → 0.0%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-44%

Out-of-state tuition

Out-of-state tuition at Pine Technical & Community College fell 44% between 2021 and 2024 ($8.5k → $4.7k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-22%

Median federal debt at exit

Median federal debt at exit at Pine Technical & Community College fell 22% between 2017 and 2020 ($18.5k → $14.4k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Minnesota

Each tile compares this institution to the Minnesota median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$41,232+11% · 6→10y
Minnesota median $48,321
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$37,079
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
39.8%-1% · '99→'09
Minnesota median 54.7%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$9,933+448% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
569+63% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
64.6%-21% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$4,681+83% · '00→'24
out-of-state $4,681
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.2%
0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $9,933 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $41,232 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 19962024574
79031819962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1999200931.1%
45%19%19992009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020$14,392
$18,500$2,62519972020
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
RETENTION · 20042024-21%

Pine Technical & Community College · retention fell

65.0% → 51.5%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024+63%

Pine Technical & Community College · undergrad enrollment rose

353 → 574

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+83%

Pine Technical & Community College · in-state tuition rose

$2,592 → $4,738

MEDIAN DEBT · 19972020+448%

Pine Technical & Community College · median debt rose

$2,625 → $14,392

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112024-100%

Pine Technical & Community College · cohort default rate fell

18.8% → 0.0%

PELL SHARE · 20082024-62%

Pine Technical & Community College · pell share fell

38.2% → 14.5%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+52%

Pine Technical & Community College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$27,200 → $41,232

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 20052020+74%

Pine Technical & Community College · earnings_median_8yr rose

$23,900 → $41,656

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 20032020+51%

Pine Technical & Community College · earnings_median_6yr rose

$24,500 → $37,079

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Pine Technical & Community College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$236,733
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 5year 0year 39
Cost per year
$11,133
HS-only baseline · MN
$39,400
Years to complete
1
CIP family
51

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Pine Technical & Community College graduates earn $X” — not “Pine Technical & Community College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Pine Technical & Community College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →