-48%
Earnings trend · post-entry horizons
Earnings 10 years post-entry at City Vision University are 48% below 6-year earnings ($40.6k → $21.1k).
Missouri · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
City Vision University
Kansas City, Missouri. 188 undergraduate students. 13 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at City Vision University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+140%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at City Vision University rose 140% between 2021 and 2024 (107 → 257).
-33%
First-year retention
First-year retention at City Vision University fell 33% between 2021 and 2023 (100.0% → 66.7%).
+10%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at City Vision University rose 10% between 2021 and 2024 ($6.0k → $6.6k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$21,123-48% · 6→10y
Missouri median $40,979$40,650
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—-100% · '15→'24
Missouri median 59.3%—
At program completion188+284% · '10→'24
latest IPEDS66.7%
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort$6,400
out-of-state $6,400SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
-100%
City Vision University · completion · 150% fell
50.0% → 0.0%
+1333%
City Vision University · retention rose
0.0% → 66.7%
+95%
City Vision University · undergrad enrollment rose
67 → 257
+295%
City Vision University · pell share rose
17.2% → 67.8%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at City Vision University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions · Bachelor's Degree at City Vision University(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“City Vision University graduates earn $X” — not “City Vision University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending City Vision University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.