Las Cruces, New Mexico. 11,561 undergraduate students. 251 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
UNITID 188030 · OPEID 002657 · IPEDS HDVINTAGE · COLLEGE SCORECARD · 2025-05 · HISTORY 1996–2024
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at New Mexico State University-Main Campus
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+12%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at New Mexico State University-Main Campus rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 ($7.3k → $8.2k).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at New Mexico State University-Main Campus fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.9% → 0.0%).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+30%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at New Mexico State University-Main Campus rose 30% between 2021 and 2024 (26.0% → 33.9%).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+12%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at New Mexico State University-Main Campus rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 (10.7k → 11.9k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. New Mexico
Each tile compares this institution to the New Mexico median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$39,067+19% · 6→10y
New Mexico median $36,869
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$32,960
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
52.2%+40% · '97→'24
New Mexico median 39.2%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$10,250+306% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
11,561+10% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
74.8%+1% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
75.7%+43% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$8,147+193% · '00→'24
out-of-state $25,271
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%
0%8% · GE20%+
Median federal debt $10,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $39,067 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
UNDERGRAD · 1996–202411,946
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202455.2%
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$17,095
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+40%
New Mexico State University-Main Campus · completion · 150% rose
39.5% → 55.2%
COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+342%
New Mexico State University-Main Campus · completion · 100% rose
7.7% → 33.9%
IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+193%
New Mexico State University-Main Campus · in-state tuition rose
$2,790 → $8,183
OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+176%
New Mexico State University-Main Campus · out-of-state tuition rose
$9,162 → $25,307
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+306%
New Mexico State University-Main Campus · median debt rose
$4,215 → $17,095
COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%
New Mexico State University-Main Campus · cohort default rate fell
15.0% → 0.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Estimate the financial outcome at New Mexico State University-Main Campus
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$204,332
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 13
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
Cost per year
$8,877
HS-only baseline · NM
$33,800
Years to complete
4
CIP family
24
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in New Mexico
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
“New Mexico State University-Main Campus graduates earn $X” — not “New Mexico State University-Main Campus makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending New Mexico State University-Main Campus caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.