North Carolina · Public · Predominantly certificates

Gaston College

Dallas, North Carolina. 3,359 undergraduate students. 76 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.

ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Gaston College

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE-18%

First-year retention

First-year retention at Gaston College fell 18% between 2021 and 2024 (66.5% → 54.4%).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-34%

Median federal debt at exit

Median federal debt at exit at Gaston College fell 34% between 2007 and 2010 ($4.0k → $2.6k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+11%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Gaston College rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($2.9k → $3.2k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+16%

Undergraduate enrollment

Undergraduate enrollment at Gaston College rose 16% between 2021 and 2024 (3.0k → 3.5k).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. North Carolina

Each tile compares this institution to the North Carolina median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$35,386+11% · 6→10y
North Carolina median $36,030
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$31,988
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
50.7%+797% · '97→'09
North Carolina median 46.1%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
+13% · '97→'10
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
3,359+80% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
61.2%+1% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$3,186+262% · '00→'24
out-of-state $9,330
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 199620243,518
6,0291,95019962024
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997200917.6%
33%2%19972009
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 19972010$2,625
$4,719$2,31319972010
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 19972009+312%

Gaston College · completion · 150% rose

2.0% → 17.6%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 19962024+80%

Gaston College · undergrad enrollment rose

1,950 → 3,518

IN-STATE TUITION · 20002024+231%

Gaston College · in-state tuition rose

$880 → $3,186

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 20002024+72%

Gaston College · out-of-state tuition rose

$5,432 → $9,330

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 20112020-100%

Gaston College · cohort default rate fell

10.4% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 20072020+20%

Gaston College · earnings_median_10yr rose

$29,400 → $35,386

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Gaston College

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE
$80,548
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 19
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
graduationbreakeven · year 19year 0year 39
Cost per year
$7,190
HS-only baseline · NC
$35,600
Years to complete
2
CIP family
24

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

CAUSAL DISCIPLINE

Gaston College graduates earn $X” — not “Gaston College makes you earn $X”

Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Gaston College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.

Methodology →