+26%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Tri-Rivers Career Center rose 26% between 2017 and 2020 ($8.5k → $10.7k).
Ohio · Public · Predominantly certificates
Tri-Rivers Career Center
Marion, Ohio. 162 undergraduate students. 6 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Tri-Rivers Career Center
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Tri-Rivers Career Center fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.0% → 0.0%).
-17%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Tri-Rivers Career Center fell 17% between 2006 and 2009 (95.0% → 79.2%).
-10pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 10 pp at Tri-Rivers Career Center vs the 2003–2007 baseline (71.4% vs 81.6%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Ohio
Each tile compares this institution to the Ohio median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$48,707-2% · 6→10y
Ohio median $41,039$49,514
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry71.4%-2% · '98→'09
Ohio median 62.5%$9,500+306% · '97→'20
At program completion162
latest IPEDS100.0%-1% · '04→'09
first-time, full-time—+146% · '01→'06
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.6%Median federal debt $9,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $48,707 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+76%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · undergrad enrollment rose
0 → 151
+306%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · median debt rose
$2,625 → $10,665
-100%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · cohort default rate fell
15.6% → 0.0%
+64%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · pell share rose
27.9% → 45.6%
+32%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · earnings_median_10yr rose
$36,800 → $48,707
+47%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · earnings_median_8yr rose
$35,000 → $51,385
+30%
Tri-Rivers Career Center · earnings_median_6yr rose
$38,000 → $49,514
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
1 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Tri-Rivers Career Center
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Practical Nursing, Vocational Nursing and Nursing Assistants · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at Tri-Rivers Career Center(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Ohio
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Tri-Rivers Career Center graduates earn $X” — not “Tri-Rivers Career Center makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Tri-Rivers Career Center caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.