-36%
Private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at University of the Arts are 36% below the private nonprofit bachelor's-predominant peer median ($38.3k vs $59.5k).
Pennsylvania · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
University of the Arts
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 1,064 undergraduate students. 26 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of the Arts
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
8.1%
Debt-to-earnings
Debt-to-earnings ratio of 8.1% at University of the Arts exceeds the 8% gainful-employment threshold ($23.2k debt amortized over 10 years vs $38.3k earnings).
-48%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 48% at University of the Arts vs the 2003–2007 baseline (1.1k vs 2.1k).
+21%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at University of the Arts rose 21% between 2006 and 2009 ($25.7k → $31.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Pennsylvania
Each tile compares this institution to the Pennsylvania median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$38,252+42% · 6→10y
Pennsylvania median $49,859$27,011
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry69.2%+32% · '01→'09
Pennsylvania median 66.1%$23,250+47% · '97→'09
At program completion1,064+66% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS80.7%-5% · '04→'09
first-time, full-time78.2%-0% · '01→'09
latest cohort$54,290+74% · '00→'09
out-of-state $54,290SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
8.1%Median federal debt $23,250 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $38,252 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+32%
University of the Arts · completion · 150% rose
50.2% → 66.2%
+51%
University of the Arts · completion · 100% rose
39.0% → 59.0%
+66%
University of the Arts · undergrad enrollment rose
1,290 → 2,139
+74%
University of the Arts · in-state tuition rose
$17,850 → $31,000
+74%
University of the Arts · out-of-state tuition rose
$17,850 → $31,000
+47%
University of the Arts · median debt rose
$11,625 → $17,125
+355%
University of the Arts · pell share rose
4.9% → 22.6%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$60,412Museology/Museum Studies.$52,083Design and Applied Arts.$47,447Arts, Entertainment,and Media Management.$45,225Crafts/Craft Design, Folk Art and Artisanry.$39,210Drama/Theatre Arts and Stagecraft.$36,737Film/Video and Photographic Arts.$35,179Fine and Studio Arts.$34,600Music.$30,902Dance.$28,494
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of the Arts
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$378,114
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $43,345
- HS-only baseline · PA
- $38,100
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 50
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Pennsylvania
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of the Arts graduates earn $X” — not “University of the Arts makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of the Arts caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.