-41%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment fell 41% at University of Puerto Rico-Carolina vs the 2003–2007 baseline (2.4k vs 4.0k).
Puerto Rico · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina
Carolina, Puerto Rico. 2,367 undergraduate students. 20 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at University of Puerto Rico-Carolina
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of Puerto Rico-Carolina fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.8% → 0.0%).
-23%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at University of Puerto Rico-Carolina fell 23% between 2021 and 2024 (48.4% → 37.3%).
+10%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at University of Puerto Rico-Carolina rose 10% between 2021 and 2024 (23.3% → 25.8%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Puerto Rico
Each tile compares this institution to the Puerto Rico median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$30,626+37% · 6→10y
Puerto Rico median $23,370$22,317
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry40.2%+406% · '97→'24
Puerto Rico median 52.5%$4,500+57% · '97→'20
At program completion2,367+13% · '96→'09
latest IPEDS75.8%-8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time52.7%+157% · '01→'24
latest cohort$7,986+191% · '01→'24
out-of-state $7,986SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.0%Median federal debt $4,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $30,626 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+406%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · completion · 150% rose
7.4% → 37.3%
+69%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · completion · 100% rose
15.3% → 25.8%
+191%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · in-state tuition rose
$2,747 → $7,986
+122%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · out-of-state tuition rose
$3,600 → $7,986
+57%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · median debt rose
$3,500 → $5,500
-100%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · cohort default rate fell
12.5% → 0.0%
+300%
University of Puerto Rico-Carolina · pell share rose
19.0% → 76.0%
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Business Administration, Management and Operations.$31,773Finance and Financial Management Services.$29,685Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.$27,956Criminal Justice and Corrections.$27,858Hospitality Administration/Management.$27,137Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.$26,238Mechanical Engineering Related Technologies/Technicians.$25,610Graphic Communications.$24,303Business Operations Support and Assistant Services.$24,178Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.$23,907
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
10 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at University of Puerto Rico-Carolina
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$51,252
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 26
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $14,824
- HS-only baseline · PR
- $22,400
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Puerto Rico
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“University of Puerto Rico-Carolina graduates earn $X” — not “University of Puerto Rico-Carolina makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending University of Puerto Rico-Carolina caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.