-14%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Bryan College-Dayton fell 14% between 2021 and 2024 (57.9% → 49.7%).
Tennessee · Private nonprofit · Predominantly bachelor's
Bryan College-Dayton
Dayton, Tennessee. 815 undergraduate students. 42 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Bryan College-Dayton
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+14%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at Bryan College-Dayton rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 ($17.4k → $19.8k).
+14%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Bryan College-Dayton rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 ($17.4k → $19.8k).
+12%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Bryan College-Dayton rose 12% between 2017 and 2020 ($20.5k → $23.0k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Tennessee
Each tile compares this institution to the Tennessee median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$54,434+19% · 6→10y
Tennessee median $38,880$45,559
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry55.9%+0% · '98→'24
Tennessee median 57.6%$13,000+184% · '97→'20
At program completion815+79% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS64.5%+8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—-36% · '01→'19
latest cohort$18,900+69% · '00→'24
out-of-state $18,900SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.2%Median federal debt $13,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $54,434 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+79%
Bryan College-Dayton · undergrad enrollment rose
455 → 814
+69%
Bryan College-Dayton · in-state tuition rose
$11,700 → $19,800
+69%
Bryan College-Dayton · out-of-state tuition rose
$11,700 → $19,800
+184%
Bryan College-Dayton · median debt rose
$8,112 → $23,000
-100%
Bryan College-Dayton · cohort default rate fell
7.3% → 0.0%
-43%
Bryan College-Dayton · pell share fell
46.6% → 26.6%
+63%
Bryan College-Dayton · earnings_median_10yr rose
$33,300 → $54,434
+45%
Bryan College-Dayton · earnings_median_8yr rose
$33,900 → $49,262
+45%
Bryan College-Dayton · earnings_median_6yr rose
$31,400 → $45,559
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Bryan College-Dayton
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Business Administration, Management and Operations · Bachelor's Degree at Bryan College-Dayton(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Tennessee
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Bryan College-Dayton graduates earn $X” — not “Bryan College-Dayton makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Bryan College-Dayton caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.