+84%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 rose 84% between 2006 and 2009 ($3.3k → $6.1k).
Texas · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410
San Antonio, Texas. 47 undergraduate students. 2 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+66%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 rose 66% between 2006 and 2009 (46.8% → 77.8%).
-35%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 fell 35% between 2021 and 2024 (60 → 39).
-20%
First-year retention
First-year retention at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 fell 20% between 2021 and 2024 (50.0% → 40.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Texas
Each tile compares this institution to the Texas median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$24,450+48% · 6→10y
Texas median $39,639$16,519
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry100.0%+36% · '98→'09
Texas median 51.8%$6,169+312% · '97→'09
At program completion47+63% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS33.3%-20% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.4%Median federal debt $6,169 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $24,450 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+36%
UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 · completion · 150% rose
57.1% → 77.8%
-20%
UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 · retention fell
50.0% → 40.0%
+312%
UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 · median debt rose
$1,478 → $6,091
+369%
UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 · pell share rose
9.6% → 45.2%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Cosmetology and Related Personal Grooming Services · Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma at UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Texas
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 graduates earn $X” — not “UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending UCAS University of Cosmetology Arts & Sciences-San Antonio 410 caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.