+13%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at University of Virginia-Main Campus rose 13% between 2021 and 2024 ($19.2k → $21.8k).
Virginia · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
UVA
Charlottesville, Virginia. 17,315 undergraduate students. 210 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at UVA
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at University of Virginia-Main Campus fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.5% → 0.0%).
+11%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at University of Virginia-Main Campus rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($53.6k → $59.5k).
+46%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at University of Virginia-Main Campus are 46% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($86.9k vs $59.3k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Virginia
Each tile compares this institution to the Virginia median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$86,863+20% · 6→10y
Virginia median $44,813$72,359
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry95.3%+4% · '97→'24
Virginia median 50.7%$15,153+59% · '97→'20
At program completion17,315+46% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS97.3%+2% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time16.9%-55% · '01→'24
latest cohort$20,986+424% · '00→'24
out-of-state $58,014SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
2.3%Median federal debt $15,153 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $86,863 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+46%
UVA · undergrad enrollment rose
12,017 → 17,597
+424%
UVA · in-state tuition rose
$4,160 → $21,803
+242%
UVA · out-of-state tuition rose
$17,409 → $59,512
+59%
UVA · median debt rose
$11,000 → $17,500
-100%
UVA · cohort default rate fell
2.3% → 0.0%
+88%
UVA · pell share rose
8.3% → 15.6%
+41%
UVA · earnings_median_10yr rose
$61,800 → $86,863
+55%
UVA · earnings_median_6yr rose
$46,800 → $72,359
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Law.$247,143Business Administration, Management and Operations.$233,655Computer Software and Media Applications.$170,198Computer and Information Sciences, General.$160,993Business/Commerce, General.$159,466Systems Engineering.$142,475Computer Engineering.$139,318Medicine.$136,935Mathematics.$133,210Systems Engineering.$131,258Business/Commerce, General.$130,586Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$117,601Chemical Engineering.$115,895Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering.$114,299Public Policy Analysis.$110,885Accounting and Related Services.$110,165Statistics.$108,373Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$107,146Economics.$95,941Civil Engineering.$95,518Biomedical/Medical Engineering.$94,692Aerospace, Aeronautical and Astronautical Engineering.$93,485Mechanical Engineering.$91,262Public Administration and Social Service Professions, Other.$88,094
Showing top 24 of 61 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
61 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Educational Administration and Supervision.$69,168Curriculum and Instruction.$64,130Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$58,953Education, General.$76,511Special Education and Teaching.$60,721Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$56,766Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas.$57,178
ENGINEERING · CIP 14
Biomedical/Medical Engineering.$94,692Systems Engineering.$131,258Mechanical Engineering.$91,262Computer Engineering.$139,318Aerospace, Aeronautical and Astronautical Engineering.$93,485Chemical Engineering.$115,895Systems Engineering.$142,475Civil Engineering.$95,518Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering.$114,299Engineering, General.$86,699
FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16
LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHILOSOPHY & RELIGIOUS STUDIES · CIP 38
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Medicine.$136,935Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$107,146Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$82,057Public Health.$78,105Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$59,354Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$117,601Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$72,446
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03
ARCHITECTURE · CIP 04
AREA, ETHNIC & CULTURAL STUDIES · CIP 05
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at UVA
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$913,451
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 5
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $14,658
- HS-only baseline · VA
- $39,800
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 45
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Virginia
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“UVA graduates earn $X” — not “UVA makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending UVA caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.