ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS

What the data flags at Michigan State

Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING WORSE+12%

In-state tuition

In-state tuition at Michigan State University rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 ($14.8k → $16.5k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%

3-year cohort default rate

3-year cohort default rate at Michigan State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (0.8% → 0.0%).

PEER OUTLIER · TRENDING BETTER+24%

Public bachelor's-predominant peer

10-year earnings at Michigan State University are 24% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($67.3k vs $54.1k).

LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+12%

100%-time completion

100%-time completion at Michigan State University rose 12% between 2006 and 2009 (43.7% → 48.9%).

SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT

The numbers, vs. Michigan

Each tile compares this institution to the Michigan median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y

$67,253+22% · 6→10y

Michigan median $38,167

MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y

$55,084

Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry

COMPLETION · 150%

82.2%+22% · '97→'24

Michigan median 57.1%

MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT

$19,500+158% · '97→'20

At program completion

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT

40,243+28% · '96→'24

latest IPEDS

RETENTION

91.4%+0% · '04→'24

first-time, full-time

ADMISSION RATE

83.9%+30% · '01→'24

latest cohort

IN-STATE TUITION

$15,988+218% · '00→'24

out-of-state $43,372

SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS

How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry

Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).

ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05

Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →

SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS

What loans cost relative to earnings

Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.

Institution-wide

3.9%

0%8% · GE20%+

Median federal debt $19,500 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $67,253 (10y after entry).

SECTION 04 · LONG ARC

Ten-plus year arc

Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.

UNDERGRAD · 1996–202440,922

Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF

COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202480.7%

150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$23,250

Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD

COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+22%

Michigan State · completion · 150% rose

66.2% → 80.7%

COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2009+102%

Michigan State · completion · 100% rose

24.2% → 48.9%

UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 1996→2024+28%

Michigan State · undergrad enrollment rose

32,050 → 40,922

IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+218%

Michigan State · in-state tuition rose

$5,170 → $16,458

OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+242%

Michigan State · out-of-state tuition rose

$12,835 → $43,842

MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+158%

Michigan State · median debt rose

$9,000 → $23,250

COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%

Michigan State · cohort default rate fell

4.3% → 0.0%

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+35%

Michigan State · earnings_median_10yr rose

$49,800 → $67,253

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+36%

Michigan State · earnings_median_8yr rose

$46,000 → $62,777

EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+35%

Michigan State · earnings_median_6yr rose

$40,900 → $55,084

SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS

Ranked by 5-year earnings

Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.

Showing top 24 of 111 ranked programs.347 TOTAL PROGRAMS

SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY

111 programs with earnings, grouped

Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.

ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15

FOREIGN LANGUAGES · CIP 16

Romance Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics.Bachelor's Degree$54,72632 grads East Asian Languages, Literatures, and Linguistics.Bachelor's Degree$60,42819 grads

FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19

Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services.Bachelor's Degree$47,493117 grads Human Development, Family Studies, and Related Services.Master's Degree$59,80510 grads

LEGAL PROFESSIONS · CIP 22

Law.First Professional Degree$91,995216 grads Non-Professional General Legal Studies (Undergraduate).Bachelor's Degree$63,93397 grads

ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23

English Language and Literature, General.Bachelor's Degree$51,62774 grads Rhetoric and Composition/Writing Studies.Bachelor's Degree$62,04822 grads

LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24

Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies and Humanities.Bachelor's Degree$46,68735 grads

BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26

Biology, General.Bachelor's Degree$66,211477 grads Neurobiology and Neurosciences.Bachelor's Degree$64,682234 grads Physiology, Pathology and Related Sciences.Bachelor's Degree$65,556136 grads Zoology/Animal Biology.Bachelor's Degree$49,355100 grads Biochemistry, Biophysics and Molecular Biology.Bachelor's Degree$70,73491 grads Genetics.Bachelor's Degree$59,88777 grads Microbiological Sciences and Immunology.Bachelor's Degree$60,44757 grads Ecology, Evolution, Systematics, and Population Biology.Bachelor's Degree$53,93247 grads Pharmacology and Toxicology.Master's Degree$100,59241 grads

MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27

Mathematics.Bachelor's Degree$71,88094 grads Statistics.Bachelor's Degree$94,32867 grads

MULTI/INTERDISCIPLINARY STUDIES · CIP 30

Nutrition Sciences.Bachelor's Degree$59,64273 grads International/Global Studies.Bachelor's Degree$62,93545 grads Multi/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other.Bachelor's Degree$48,53240 grads

PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31

Health and Physical Education/Fitness.Bachelor's Degree$68,711388 grads Health and Physical Education/Fitness.Master's Degree$60,99619 grads

PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40

Chemistry.Bachelor's Degree$57,34547 grads Physics.Bachelor's Degree$75,11944 grads Geological and Earth Sciences/Geosciences.Bachelor's Degree$61,14524 grads

PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42

Psychology, General.Bachelor's Degree$56,392402 grads Clinical, Counseling and Applied Psychology.Doctoral Degree$65,8755 grads

HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43

Criminal Justice and Corrections.Bachelor's Degree$66,284158 grads Homeland Security, Law Enforcement, Firefighting and Related Protective Services, Other.Master's Degree$102,91128 grads Criminal Justice and Corrections.Master's Degree$86,15720 grads

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44

Social Work.Bachelor's Degree$55,52354 grads Social Work.Master's Degree$60,49019 grads

SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45

Economics.Bachelor's Degree$81,373343 grads Political Science and Government.Bachelor's Degree$72,691141 grads Social Sciences, General.Bachelor's Degree$57,882129 grads International Relations and National Security Studies.Bachelor's Degree$75,882106 grads Sociology.Bachelor's Degree$60,828104 grads Anthropology.Bachelor's Degree$56,48442 grads Geography and Cartography.Bachelor's Degree$72,29016 grads

VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50

Design and Applied Arts.Bachelor's Degree$54,10883 grads Music.Master's Degree$51,83282 grads Music.Doctoral Degree$60,00567 grads Music.Bachelor's Degree$40,64455 grads Drama/Theatre Arts and Stagecraft.Bachelor's Degree$34,58737 grads Fine and Studio Arts.Bachelor's Degree$43,01617 grads

HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51

Medicine.First Professional Degree$208,932467 grads Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.Bachelor's Degree$79,580187 grads Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions.Master's Degree$61,065172 grads Clinical/Medical Laboratory Science/Research and Allied Professions.Bachelor's Degree$70,28476 grads Dietetics and Clinical Nutrition Services.Bachelor's Degree$59,27457 grads Public Health.Master's Degree$73,13534 grads Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.Master's Degree$64,64329 grads Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.Master's Degree$121,94917 grads Allied Health Diagnostic, Intervention, and Treatment Professions.Bachelor's Degree$48,85416 grads Public Health.Graduate/Professional Certificate$74,0767 grads

BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52

Business Administration, Management and Operations.Bachelor's Degree$90,299468 grads Finance and Financial Management Services.Bachelor's Degree$99,263343 grads Business Administration, Management and Operations.Master's Degree$129,236308 grads Accounting and Related Services.Bachelor's Degree$91,024214 grads Marketing.Bachelor's Degree$88,000207 grads Management Sciences and Quantitative Methods.Master's Degree$124,994197 grads Hospitality Administration/Management.Bachelor's Degree$61,842177 grads Human Resources Management and Services.Bachelor's Degree$86,826132 grads Business/Commerce, General.Master's Degree$162,832120 grads Marketing.Master's Degree$106,96767 grads Human Resources Management and Services.Master's Degree$119,36744 grads Accounting and Related Services.Master's Degree$101,2840 grads

HISTORY · CIP 54

History.Bachelor's Degree$48,42140 grads

AGRICULTURE · CIP 01

Animal Sciences.Bachelor's Degree$59,436162 grads Veterinary Medicine.First Professional Degree$124,687114 grads Food Science and Technology.Master's Degree$107,42865 grads Agricultural Business and Management.Bachelor's Degree$74,45442 grads Food Science and Technology.Bachelor's Degree$70,22538 grads Applied Horticulture and Horticultural Business Services.Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma$44,93333 grads Plant Sciences.Bachelor's Degree$46,60429 grads Soil Sciences.Bachelor's Degree$62,52022 grads Veterinary/Animal Health Technologies/Technicians.Bachelor's Degree$46,98221 grads Agricultural Business and Management.Undergraduate Certificate or Diploma$62,45716 grads

NATURAL RESOURCES & CONSERVATION · CIP 03

Natural Resources Conservation and Research.Bachelor's Degree$64,54976 grads Wildlife and Wildlands Science and Management.Bachelor's Degree$44,77842 grads

ARCHITECTURE · CIP 04

City/Urban, Community and Regional Planning.Bachelor's Degree$45,515—

COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09

Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.Bachelor's Degree$71,448565 grads Communication and Media Studies.Bachelor's Degree$66,407506 grads Journalism.Bachelor's Degree$58,101103 grads Public Relations, Advertising, and Applied Communication.Master's Degree$78,35123 grads

FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION

Estimate the financial outcome at Michigan State

Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.

Program

Family income

Discount rate · 5.0%

Horizon · 40 years

Apply Dale-Krueger selection shrinkage

Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.

NET PRESENT VALUE

$577,471

Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%

BREAKEVEN

Year 8

First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero

Cost per year: $20,378
HS-only baseline · MI: $36,900
Years to complete: 4
CIP family: 09

Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.

SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS

Same sector and degree mix in Michigan

Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.

ANN ARBOR$83.6k

Michigan State