+43%
Median federal debt at exit
Median federal debt at exit at Bolivar Technical College rose 43% between 2017 and 2020 ($10.5k → $15.0k).
Missouri · Private nonprofit · Predominantly associate's
Bolivar Technical College
Bolivar, Missouri. 144 undergraduate students. 4 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Bolivar Technical College
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
+12%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Bolivar Technical College rose 12% between 2021 and 2024 (129 → 144).
+40%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at Bolivar Technical College rose 40% between 2021 and 2024 ($20.3k → $28.4k).
-40%
First-year retention
First-year retention at Bolivar Technical College fell 40% between 2018 and 2021 (33.3% → 20.0%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Missouri
Each tile compares this institution to the Missouri median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
—
Missouri median $40,979—
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry—-8% · '22→'24
Missouri median 59.3%$11,000+43% · '17→'20
At program completion144+21% · '17→'24
latest IPEDS—-59% · '17→'21
first-time, full-time81.8%+23% · '17→'24
latest cohort$27,125
out-of-state $27,125SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-59%
Bolivar Technical College · retention fell
48.3% → 20.0%
+79%
Bolivar Technical College · out-of-state tuition rose
$15,869 → $28,390
+43%
Bolivar Technical College · median debt rose
$10,500 → $15,000
-28%
Bolivar Technical College · pell share fell
89.1% → 64.6%
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Bolivar Technical College
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
EARNINGS SUPPRESSED
Federal privacy rules suppressed earnings for Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing · Associate's Degree at Bolivar Technical College(cohort below 30 students). The calculator can’t produce a number we’d stand behind, so we don’t.
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Missouri
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Bolivar Technical College graduates earn $X” — not “Bolivar Technical College makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Bolivar Technical College caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.