+14%
Out-of-state tuition
Out-of-state tuition at East Tennessee State University rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 ($12.7k → $14.5k).
Tennessee · Public · Predominantly bachelor's
East Tennessee State University
Johnson City, Tennessee. 9,807 undergraduate students. 119 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at East Tennessee State University
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at East Tennessee State University fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (2.5% → 0.0%).
+11%
In-state tuition
In-state tuition at East Tennessee State University rose 11% between 2021 and 2024 ($9.4k → $10.5k).
+14%
100%-time completion
100%-time completion at East Tennessee State University rose 14% between 2021 and 2024 (34.9% → 39.7%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Tennessee
Each tile compares this institution to the Tennessee median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$44,859+16% · 6→10y
Tennessee median $38,880$38,704
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry49.9%+58% · '97→'24
Tennessee median 57.6%$14,400+265% · '97→'20
At program completion9,807+9% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS73.9%+8% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time87.1%+8% · '01→'24
latest cohort$9,950+280% · '00→'24
out-of-state $13,790SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.3%Median federal debt $14,400 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $44,859 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
+58%
East Tennessee State University · completion · 150% rose
33.7% → 53.2%
+282%
East Tennessee State University · completion · 100% rose
10.4% → 39.7%
+280%
East Tennessee State University · in-state tuition rose
$2,759 → $10,472
+73%
East Tennessee State University · out-of-state tuition rose
$8,387 → $14,522
+265%
East Tennessee State University · median debt rose
$5,329 → $19,442
-100%
East Tennessee State University · cohort default rate fell
14.1% → 0.0%
+30%
East Tennessee State University · earnings_median_10yr rose
$34,400 → $44,859
+30%
East Tennessee State University · earnings_median_8yr rose
$32,200 → $41,898
+34%
East Tennessee State University · earnings_median_6yr rose
$28,900 → $38,704
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Medicine.$196,850Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$137,685Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$119,539Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$107,519Computer and Information Sciences, General.$93,295Accounting and Related Services.$85,389Educational Administration and Supervision.$85,265Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions.$83,355Public Health.$81,658Business Administration, Management and Operations.$74,671Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$74,304Engineering Technology, General.$73,958Finance and Financial Management Services.$64,300Chemistry.$63,871Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$60,729Mathematics.$59,374Accounting and Related Services.$58,006Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$54,028Health Professions and Related Clinical Sciences, Other.$53,532Public Health.$53,377Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$52,600Educational/Instructional Media Design.$52,523Social Work.$52,498Business Administration, Management and Operations.$51,918
Showing top 24 of 46 ranked programs.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
46 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 10
COMPUTER & INFORMATION SCIENCES · CIP 11
EDUCATION · CIP 13
Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$42,111Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Levels and Methods.$52,600Educational Administration and Supervision.$85,265Student Counseling and Personnel Services.$42,478Educational/Instructional Media Design.$52,523Special Education and Teaching.$43,909
ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGIES · CIP 15
FAMILY & CONSUMER SCIENCES · CIP 19
ENGLISH LANGUAGE & LITERATURE · CIP 23
LIBERAL ARTS & GENERAL STUDIES · CIP 24
BIOLOGICAL & BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES · CIP 26
MATHEMATICS & STATISTICS · CIP 27
PARKS, RECREATION & FITNESS · CIP 31
PHYSICAL SCIENCES · CIP 40
PSYCHOLOGY · CIP 42
HOMELAND SECURITY & PROTECTIVE SERVICES · CIP 43
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION & SOCIAL SERVICES · CIP 44
SOCIAL SCIENCES · CIP 45
VISUAL & PERFORMING ARTS · CIP 50
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$74,304Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$107,519Pharmacy, Pharmaceutical Sciences, and Administration.$137,685Medicine.$196,850Health Professions and Related Clinical Sciences, Other.$53,532Public Health.$81,658Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions.$83,355Public Health.$53,377Communication Disorders Sciences and Services.$54,028Dental Support Services and Allied Professions.$60,729Registered Nursing, Nursing Administration, Nursing Research and Clinical Nursing.$119,539
BUSINESS, MANAGEMENT & MARKETING · CIP 52
HISTORY · CIP 54
COMMUNICATION & JOURNALISM · CIP 09
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at East Tennessee State University
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$670,433
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 7
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
- Cost per year
- $16,944
- HS-only baseline · TN
- $34,600
- Years to complete
- 4
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Tennessee
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“East Tennessee State University graduates earn $X” — not “East Tennessee State University makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending East Tennessee State University caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.