-45%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at Genesis Career College-Lebanon fell 45% between 2021 and 2024 (173 → 96).
Tennessee · Private for-profit · Predominantly certificates
Genesis Career College-Lebanon
Lebanon, Tennessee. 98 undergraduate students. 4 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
What the data flags at Genesis Career College-Lebanon
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at Genesis Career College-Lebanon fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (3.1% → 0.0%).
-17pp
150%-time completion
150%-time completion fell 17 pp at Genesis Career College-Lebanon vs the 2003–2007 baseline (49.5% vs 66.6%).
+87%
150%-time completion
150%-time completion at Genesis Career College-Lebanon rose 87% between 2006 and 2009 (33.3% → 62.3%).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
The numbers, vs. Tennessee
Each tile compares this institution to the Tennessee median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
$24,977+19% · 6→10y
Tennessee median $38,880$20,919
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry49.5%+8% · '98→'09
Tennessee median 57.6%$8,857+262% · '97→'20
At program completion98+88% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS51.0%-20% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time—
latest cohort—
annualSECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
4.7%Median federal debt $8,857 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $24,977 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Ten-plus year arc
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
Undergraduate enrollment.
150%-time completion rate.
Median federal student debt at exit.
-20%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · retention fell
78.0% → 62.5%
+23%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · undergrad enrollment rose
51 → 96
+262%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · median debt rose
$2,625 → $9,500
-100%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · cohort default rate fell
6.5% → 0.0%
+61%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · earnings_median_10yr rose
$15,500 → $24,977
+60%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · earnings_median_8yr rose
$13,000 → $22,067
+55%
Genesis Career College-Lebanon · earnings_median_6yr rose
$12,700 → $20,919
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
SECTION 06 · BY CIP FAMILY
2 programs with earnings, grouped
Programs are grouped by 2-digit CIP family. Programs without reported earnings are hidden to keep the list focused.
PERSONAL & CULINARY SERVICES · CIP 12
HEALTH PROFESSIONS · CIP 51
FINANCIAL OUTCOME · ILLUSTRATION
Estimate the financial outcome at Genesis Career College-Lebanon
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
-$91,590
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
—
Doesn’t reach breakeven within the horizon
- Cost per year
- $15,586
- HS-only baseline · TN
- $34,600
- Years to complete
- 1
- CIP family
- 51
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Same sector and degree mix in Tennessee
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
CAUSAL DISCIPLINE
“Genesis Career College-Lebanon graduates earn $X” — not “Genesis Career College-Lebanon makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Genesis Career College-Lebanon caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.