Knoxville, Tennessee. 28,763 undergraduate students. 290 programs in the federal Field-of-Study dataset.
UNITID 221759 · OPEID 003530 · IPEDS HDVINTAGE · COLLEGE SCORECARD · 2025-05 · HISTORY 1996–2024
ANOMALY ENGINE · NOTABLE SIGNALS
Earnings, completion, debt, and enrollment anomalies at Tennessee
Short-arc shifts (recent 3-year window), peer outliers, earnings trend breaks, completion drops, enrollment cliffs, and debt-to-earnings warnings — surfaced deterministically from the federal record. Multi-decade shifts are reported separately in the Long Arc section, since 25-year tuition drift isn't really an anomaly.
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER-100%
3-year cohort default rate
3-year cohort default rate at The University of Tennessee-Knoxville fell 100% between 2021 and 2024 (1.1% → 0.0%).
PEER OUTLIER · TRENDING BETTER+29%
Public bachelor's-predominant peer
10-year earnings at The University of Tennessee-Knoxville are 29% above the public bachelor's-predominant peer median ($60.2k vs $46.7k).
LONG-ARC SHIFT · TRENDING BETTER+22%
Undergraduate enrollment
Undergraduate enrollment at The University of Tennessee-Knoxville rose 22% between 2021 and 2024 (25.0k → 30.4k).
SECTION 01 · OUTCOMES SNAPSHOT
Tennessee earnings, debt, and completion vs. the Tennessee median
Each tile compares this institution to the Tennessee median for the same metric. Sub-line shows the comparison value, not an interpretation. Sparklines trace the federally available history.
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 10Y
$60,249+26% · 6→10y
Tennessee median $38,880
MEDIAN EARNINGS · 6Y
$47,782
Treasury earnings · 6y post-entry
COMPLETION · 150%
73.5%+31% · '97→'24
Tennessee median 57.6%
MEDIAN FEDERAL DEBT
$16,000+273% · '97→'20
At program completion
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT
28,763+62% · '96→'24
latest IPEDS
RETENTION
91.1%+18% · '04→'24
first-time, full-time
ADMISSION RATE
46.0%-39% · '01→'24
latest cohort
IN-STATE TUITION
$13,484
out-of-state $31,974
SECTION 02 · EARNINGS HORIZONS
How Tennessee earnings spread, 4 to 10 years after entry
Treasury tax-record earnings for federally aided students who first enrolled at this institution. Each point is a horizon from the most-recent vintage. Single median per horizon (no p25/p75 publishing).
ALL FEDERALLY AIDED STUDENTS · TAX-RECORD EARNINGSVINTAGE 2025-05
Earnings widen with time post-entry. Selection: federal-aid recipients only — not all graduates.Methodology →
SECTION 03 · DEBT-TO-EARNINGS
What loans cost relative to earnings at Tennessee
Annual debt service as a share of median earnings 10 years after entry, computed under federal Direct loan terms (10-year fixed at 6%). The 8% line is the gainful-employment threshold from federal regulation; above 12% has historically been considered “failing” under prior rule cycles.
Institution-wide
3.5%
0%8% · GE20%+
Median federal debt $16,000 amortized over 10 years vs. median earnings $60,249 (10y after entry).
SECTION 04 · LONG ARC
Tennessee enrollment, completion, and debt over time
Federally available history. Coverage varies by metric — IPEDS publishes some series only after 2009 and others only before.
UNDERGRAD · 1996–202430,418
Undergraduate enrollment.IPEDS EF
COMPLETION 150% · 1997–202473.9%
150%-time completion rate.IPEDS GR
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997–2020$20,500
Median federal student debt at exit.SCORECARD
COMPLETION · 150% · 1997→2024+31%
Tennessee · completion · 150% rose
56.2% → 73.9%
COMPLETION · 100% · 1997→2024+125%
Tennessee · completion · 100% rose
25.2% → 56.7%
RETENTION · 2004→2024+18%
Tennessee · retention rose
78.0% → 91.9%
UNDERGRAD ENROLLMENT · 1996→2024+62%
Tennessee · undergrad enrollment rose
18,725 → 30,418
IN-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+1381%
Tennessee · in-state tuition rose
$0 → $13,812
OUT-OF-STATE TUITION · 2000→2024+227%
Tennessee · out-of-state tuition rose
$10,166 → $33,256
MEDIAN DEBT · 1997→2020+273%
Tennessee · median debt rose
$5,500 → $20,500
COHORT DEFAULT RATE · 2011→2024-100%
Tennessee · cohort default rate fell
8.0% → 0.0%
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_10YR · 2007→2020+36%
Tennessee · earnings_median_10yr rose
$44,300 → $60,249
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_8YR · 2005→2020+31%
Tennessee · earnings_median_8yr rose
$41,300 → $54,188
EARNINGS_MEDIAN_6YR · 2003→2020+31%
Tennessee · earnings_median_6yr rose
$36,600 → $47,782
SECTION 05 · PROGRAMS
Tennessee programs ranked by 5-year earnings
Each row is one (CIP × credential) program reported by the institution in College Scorecard's Field-of-Study data. Cohort floor is 30 students; below this, federal data is suppressed.
Pick a program. Cost from Scorecard net price by family income; earnings from Treasury 5-year-post-completion median, projected forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve. The selection-bias toggle applies the Dale-Krueger shrinkage. Outcomes illustration, not a forecast — see methodology.
Shrinks the earnings premium toward the matched-applicant mean. STEM <15%, business ~40%, arts & education ~60%.
NET PRESENT VALUE
$794,687
Over 40 years, discounted 5.0%
BREAKEVEN
Year 7
First year cumulative discounted earnings cross zero
Cost per year
$18,820
HS-only baseline · TN
$34,600
Years to complete
4
CIP family
52
Outcomes illustration · not a forecast. Projects observed Scorecard earnings forward with a Mincer age-earnings curve under your assumptions. See methodology for the math.
SECTION 07 · SIMILAR INSTITUTIONS
Institutions similar to Tennessee in Tennessee
Picked by Carnegie sector × predominant credential level. These are not rankings — just nearest-neighbour surfaces for comparison.
“Tennessee graduates earn $X” — not “Tennessee makes you earn $X”
Median earnings describe what cohorts earned. They do not describe what attending Tennessee caused. Selection effects (who admits, who enrolls, who completes) are real. We publish federal data with strict descriptive phrasing — and link the methodology where you can read about the limitations directly.